This week / Teams / Kansas City Chiefs
Profile, 2022–2025, refreshed Sat 3:18a ET
KC
AFC West, Q1 offence #16 of 32

Chiefs.

Kansas City Chiefs / 78 games in sample / This week vs DEN
Q1 points / game
4.4
#16 of 32
Scores in Q1
68%
of games in sample
Allows a Q1 score
60%
3.5 pts allowed
Opening drive scores
44%
32 times with the ball first

This week

Mon, Sep 14 at 8:15p ET, Arrowhead Stadium
Wager Q1 Total Over

vs. DEN, best edge +6.4

The model has KC ahead when the quarter ends 41% of the time, with the quarter level 22% and 8.1 pts projected in it. KC gets on the board 65% of the time, the opening drive ends in points 39% and someone gets on the board at 90% — all three shown as context only: back-testing found no edge on any of them, so none carries a pick.

Quick markets
Opening drive scores 39%
Q1 total proj 8.1
Game spread KC -2.5
Game total 44

Q1 points, last 12

Sample average 4.4 pts per Q1
6
DET
7
LV
0
WAS
0
@BUF
3
@DEN
0
IND
14
@DAL
0
HOU
7
LAC
0
@TEN
0
DEN
3
@LV

Game log

78 games, 2022–2025
DATE OPP Q1 PTS OPENING DRIVE FIRST SCORE FINAL Q1
Jan 4Wk 18 @LV 3: 0 had the ball, Punt FG, KC 12–14 ✓ won
Dec 25Wk 17 vsDEN 0: 3 on defence FG, DEN 13–20 ✗ lost
Dec 21Wk 16 @TEN 0: 0 had the ball, Punt scoreless 9–26 – level
Dec 14Wk 15 vsLAC 7: 3 had the ball, Touchdown TD, KC 13–16 ✓ won
Dec 7Wk 14 vsHOU 0: 3 had the ball, Punt FG, HOU 10–20 ✗ lost
Nov 27Wk 13 @DAL 14: 7 on defence TD, KC 28–31 ✓ won
Nov 23Wk 12 vsIND 0: 7 on defence TD, IND 23–20 ✗ lost
Nov 16Wk 11 @DEN 3: 6 on defence FG, DEN 19–22 ✗ lost
Nov 2Wk 9 @BUF 0: 7 on defence TD, BUF 21–28 ✗ lost
Oct 27Wk 8 vsWAS 0: 0 on defence scoreless 28–7 – level
Oct 19Wk 7 vsLV 7: 0 on defence TD, KC 31–0 ✓ won
Oct 12Wk 6 vsDET 6: 3 on defence FG, DET 30–17 ✓ won
Showing 12 of 78 Wins the quarter 51% of the time by scoring first

Browse teams

Ranked by Q1 points per game, 2022–2025
DET, #1 5.9 Q1 pts PHI, #2 5.6 Q1 pts SEA, #3 5.3 Q1 pts BUF, #4 5.3 Q1 pts CIN, #5 5.3 Q1 pts SF, #6 5.2 Q1 pts DAL, #7 5.2 Q1 pts IND, #8 4.9 Q1 pts BAL, #9 4.8 Q1 pts MIA, #10 4.7 Q1 pts GB, #11 4.6 Q1 pts LAR, #12 4.6 Q1 pts LAC, #13 4.5 Q1 pts MIN, #14 4.5 Q1 pts TEN, #15 4.4 Q1 pts KC, #16 4.4 Q1 pts HOU, #17 4.3 Q1 pts ATL, #18 4.2 Q1 pts TB, #19 4.1 Q1 pts DEN, #20 4.0 Q1 pts JAX, #21 4.0 Q1 pts CHI, #22 4.0 Q1 pts CLE, #23 4.0 Q1 pts ARI, #24 4.0 Q1 pts LV, #25 3.9 Q1 pts NE, #26 3.8 Q1 pts NO, #27 3.5 Q1 pts WSH, #28 3.5 Q1 pts PIT, #29 3.4 Q1 pts NYJ, #30 3.2 Q1 pts CAR, #31 3.0 Q1 pts NYG, #32 2.8 Q1 pts