Our pre-game 1st-quarter numbers
Pre-game model, not re-run in play
SEA leads after Q1, pre-game
41%
Settled: the quarter was scoreless
NE was 37% and level
22%. On getting on the board at all we had
SEA 73%,
NE 64% and someone
93%, all shown as context
only, no edge, no pick.
Pre-game Q1 projections
SEA leads after Q1
41%
Projected Q1 points
9.9
Opening drive scores
47%
NE scores in Q1
64%
SEA scores in Q1
73%
Actual Q1
NE 0, SEA 0
These are the numbers we published before kickoff. The model is
closed-form and pre-game. It is not re-run play by play, so nothing
here moves while the game is on.
Q1 drives
D1
SEA
5 plays, 25 yds, 3:18, 5 plays, 25 yards, 3:18
PUNT
D2
NE
8 plays, 37 yds, 4:13, 8 plays, 37 yards, 4:13
PUNT
D3
SEA
5 plays, 20 yds, 2:54, 5 plays, 20 yards, 2:54
PUNT
D4
NE
5 plays, 20 yds, 3:13, 5 plays, 20 yards, 3:13
PUNT
D5
SEA
4 plays, 17 yds, 1:34, 4 plays, 17 yards, 1:34
PUNT