This week / Teams / Houston Texans
Profile, 2022–2025, refreshed Sat 4:05a ET
HOU
AFC South, Q1 offence #17 of 32

Texans.

Houston Texans / 74 games in sample / This week vs BUF
Q1 points / game
4.3
#17 of 32
Scores in Q1
65%
of games in sample
Allows a Q1 score
65%
4.5 pts allowed
Opening drive scores
37%
41 times with the ball first

This week

Sun, Sep 13 at 1:00p ET, Reliant Stadium
Wager Q1 Total Over

vs. BUF, best edge +5.8

The model has HOU ahead when the quarter ends 37% of the time, with the quarter level 22% and 8.2 pts projected in it. HOU gets on the board 63% of the time, the opening drive ends in points 37% and someone gets on the board at 90% — all three shown as context only: back-testing found no edge on any of them, so none carries a pick.

Quick markets
Opening drive scores 37%
Q1 total proj 8.2
Game spread HOU +1
Game total 45

Q1 points, last 12

Sample average 4.3 pts per Q1
3
DEN
0
JAX
0
@TEN
3
BUF
3
@IND
3
@KC
17
ARI
7
LV
14
@LAC
6
IND
0
@PIT
3
@NE

Game log

74 games, 2022–2025
DATE OPP Q1 PTS OPENING DRIVE FIRST SCORE FINAL Q1
Jan 18Wk 20 @NE 3: 7 on defence TD, NE 16–28 ✗ lost
Jan 12Wk 19 @PIT 0: 3 on defence FG, PIT 30–6 ✗ lost
Jan 4Wk 18 vsIND 6: 10 had the ball, Field goal FG, HOU 38–30 ✗ lost
Dec 27Wk 17 @LAC 14: 0 had the ball, Touchdown TD, HOU 20–16 ✓ won
Dec 21Wk 16 vsLV 7: 0 on defence TD, HOU 23–21 ✓ won
Dec 14Wk 15 vsARI 17: 0 had the ball, Touchdown TD, HOU 40–20 ✓ won
Dec 7Wk 14 @KC 3: 0 on defence FG, HOU 20–10 ✓ won
Nov 30Wk 13 @IND 3: 0 on defence FG, HOU 20–16 ✓ won
Nov 20Wk 12 vsBUF 3: 6 had the ball, Punt TD, BUF 23–19 ✗ lost
Nov 16Wk 11 @TEN 0: 3 had the ball, Turnover on downs FG, TEN 16–13 ✗ lost
Nov 9Wk 10 vsJAX 0: 10 had the ball, Turnover FG, JAX 36–29 ✗ lost
Nov 2Wk 9 vsDEN 3: 0 had the ball, Missed field goal FG, HOU 15–18 ✓ won
Showing 12 of 74 Wins the quarter 45% of the time by scoring first

Browse teams

Ranked by Q1 points per game, 2022–2025
DET, #1 5.9 Q1 pts PHI, #2 5.6 Q1 pts SEA, #3 5.3 Q1 pts BUF, #4 5.3 Q1 pts CIN, #5 5.3 Q1 pts SF, #6 5.2 Q1 pts DAL, #7 5.2 Q1 pts IND, #8 4.9 Q1 pts BAL, #9 4.8 Q1 pts MIA, #10 4.7 Q1 pts GB, #11 4.6 Q1 pts LAR, #12 4.6 Q1 pts LAC, #13 4.5 Q1 pts MIN, #14 4.5 Q1 pts TEN, #15 4.4 Q1 pts KC, #16 4.4 Q1 pts HOU, #17 4.3 Q1 pts ATL, #18 4.2 Q1 pts TB, #19 4.1 Q1 pts DEN, #20 4.0 Q1 pts JAX, #21 4.0 Q1 pts CHI, #22 4.0 Q1 pts CLE, #23 4.0 Q1 pts ARI, #24 4.0 Q1 pts LV, #25 3.9 Q1 pts NE, #26 3.8 Q1 pts NO, #27 3.5 Q1 pts WSH, #28 3.5 Q1 pts PIT, #29 3.4 Q1 pts NYJ, #30 3.2 Q1 pts CAR, #31 3.0 Q1 pts NYG, #32 2.8 Q1 pts
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