Our pre-game 1st-quarter numbers
Pre-game model, not re-run in play
NYJ leads after Q1, pre-game
38%
Settled: 21 points scored in the quarter
MIA was 41% and level
22%. On getting on the board at all we had
NYJ 65%,
MIA 66% and someone
91%, all shown as context
only, no edge, no pick.
Pre-game Q1 projections
NYJ leads after Q1
38%
Projected Q1 points
8.7
Opening drive scores
43%
MIA scores in Q1
66%
NYJ scores in Q1
65%
Actual Q1
MIA 14, NYJ 7
These are the numbers we published before kickoff. The model is
closed-form and pre-game. It is not re-run play by play, so nothing
here moves while the game is on.
Q1 drives
D1
MIA
7 plays, 76 yds, 4:07, 7 plays, 76 yards, 4:07
TOUCHDOWN
D2
NYJ
4 plays, 65 yds, 2:16, 4 plays, 65 yards, 2:16
TOUCHDOWN
D3
MIA
14 plays, 60 yds, 7:35, 14 plays, 60 yards, 7:35
TOUCHDOWN
D4
NYJ
9 plays, 47 yds, 4:03, 9 plays, 47 yards, 4:03
INTERCEPTION