Our pre-game 1st-quarter numbers
Pre-game model, not re-run in play
NO leads after Q1, pre-game
38%
Settled: 3 points scored in the quarter
PIT was 40% and level
22%. On getting on the board at all we had
NO 64%,
PIT 66% and someone
91%, all shown as context
only, no edge, no pick.
Pre-game Q1 projections
NO leads after Q1
38%
Projected Q1 points
8.6
Opening drive scores
42%
PIT scores in Q1
66%
NO scores in Q1
64%
Actual Q1
PIT 3, NO 0
These are the numbers we published before kickoff. The model is
closed-form and pre-game. It is not re-run play by play, so nothing
here moves while the game is on.
Q1 drives
D1
PIT
8 plays, 51 yds, 4:09, 8 plays, 51 yards, 4:09
FIELD GOAL
D2
NO
11 plays, 37 yds, 5:30, 11 plays, 37 yards, 5:30
PUNT
D3
PIT
13 plays, 43 yds, 7:04, 13 plays, 43 yards, 7:04
PUNT