Our pre-game 1st-quarter numbers
Pre-game model, not re-run in play
LAR leads after Q1, pre-game
38%
Settled: 3 points scored in the quarter
SF was 41% and level
22%. On getting on the board at all we had
LAR 68%,
SF 68% and someone
92%, all shown as context
only, no edge, no pick.
Pre-game Q1 projections
LAR leads after Q1
38%
Projected Q1 points
9.5
Opening drive scores
40%
SF scores in Q1
68%
LAR scores in Q1
68%
Actual Q1
SF 3, LAR 0
These are the numbers we published before kickoff. The model is
closed-form and pre-game. It is not re-run play by play, so nothing
here moves while the game is on.
Q1 drives
D1
LAR
3 plays, 9 yds, 1:32, 3 plays, 9 yards, 1:32
PUNT
D2
SF
15 plays, 65 yds, 7:13, 15 plays, 65 yards, 7:13
FIELD GOAL
D3
LAR
6 plays, 15 yds, 2:57, 6 plays, 15 yards, 2:57
PUNT
D4
SF
3 plays, 8 yds, 1:26, 3 plays, 8 yards, 1:26
PUNT
D5
LAR
4 plays, 57 yds, 1:55, 4 plays, 57 yards, 1:55
TOUCHDOWN